Outlook Across the Deep South & Vicinity:
A significant severe weather threat is possible including tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds, is expected for late Tuesday afternoon and evening, continuing overnight. The highest risk area looks to be around TN south into northern portions of MS and AL. Check below for further details.
Overall Forecast:
As a positively tilted upper trough traverses the central third of the country, this will bring a very strong flow over the region. Additionally, there is an anticipated secondary activity of intensified severe weather, particularly in the northern Deep South area. An upper-level speed maximum is predicted to move from northern Mexico into Texas, affecting the region by the evening and overnight, and intensifying as it crosses Louisiana into eastern Tennessee by the end of the period. This scenario, coupled with very strong effective shear and strong instability in the warm sector, along with focused low-level shear, especially across northern Mississippi and Alabama sets the stage for storms capable of producing large hail, damaging winds, and tornadoes.
Main impact: large hail, damaging winds, tornadoes possible and CG lightning.
Approximate Timing: Depending on when destabilization occurs, sometime around the late afternoon to early evening hours, severe storms are expected to form as a cluster with discrete cells within them. These are capable of producing all types of hazards, especially in the northern Alabama area and its vicinity, such as southern Tennessee. These storms will move eastward and northeastward across the area. These storms will most likely continue as a line into GA with the main risk becoming damaging winds and perhaps an embedded tornado is still possible overnight into Wednesday morning before decreasing in strength in eastern GA.
Locations Impacted: Southern Tennessee, Northeast Mississippi, Northwest Alabama, North Alabama, Northeast Alabama, Central Alabama, South Alabama, Northwest Georgia, North Georgia, Central Georgia.
Stay tuned for more updates.
Sina⚡⚡
With over a decade of experience in forecasting severe thunderstorms, this individual is a seasoned forecaster and developer. Their expertise in severe weather forecasting and computer science is entirely self-taught, complemented by a foundation in Atmospheric Science from UNCO and an IT background from WGU. They have dedicated their efforts to developing innovative tools that enhance the accuracy of analyzing large hail and tornadoes. As a significant contributor and partner at National Weather Force Innovations LLC, they have played a crucial role in providing accurate and timely information. Additionally, they have been instrumental in developing tools and organizing projects that focus on accuracy and performance, ensuring those affected are well-informed.