Brief Outlook:
Hurricane and Tropical Storm Conditions with very strong storms expected across the Texas Gulf Coast, capable of damaging winds, and a few embedded tornadoes spinning up mainly Sunday night into early Monday. Check below for further details, timing and much more information.
States and Cities Impacted: Texas (Houston, Corpus Christi).
Detailed Forecast:
Tropical Cyclone Beryl is forecast to approach the middle Texas Gulf Coast. As Beryl moves through the western periphery of subtropical ridging, enhanced low to mid-level flow will increase, supporting the potential for severe thunderstorms. Enhanced wind shear, particularly in the mid and upper levels, will support organized storm structures, including supercells capable of producing damaging winds, large hail, and potentially a few tornadoes.
At the surface, instability values are expected to reach around 2000-2500 J/kg, with dewpoints in the mid to upper 70s. Rainbands associated with Beryl will likely spread northwestward into the region during the afternoon. The interaction between the tropical moisture and the advancing upper-level trough will foster the development of severe thunderstorms.
Future Radar Scenario:
Timing:
Rainbands associated with Beryl are expected to begin affecting the region in the early afternoon. The most intense activity is likely from mid-afternoon to early evening, with thunderstorms capable of producing damaging winds and embedded tornadoes throughout the night.
Main Impact: Damaging winds, large hail, and a few tornadoes.
Stay tuned for more updates.
Sina⚡⚡
With over a decade of experience in forecasting severe thunderstorms, this individual is a seasoned forecaster and developer. Their expertise in severe weather forecasting and computer science is entirely self-taught, complemented by a foundation in Atmospheric Science from UNCO and an IT background from WGU. They have dedicated their efforts to developing innovative tools that enhance the accuracy of analyzing large hail and tornadoes. As a significant contributor, partner and Co-Owner at National Weather Force Innovations LLC (which own NWF, SCWF, AZWF and DWF), they have played a crucial role in providing accurate and timely information. Additionally, they have been instrumental in developing tools and organizing projects that focus on accuracy and performance, ensuring those affected are well-informed.