Issued or Partial Issued States: Southern half of Wisconsin – Map inside shows affected state areas.
Site: National Weather Force has issued a Tornado Watch effective now through today … 5-10-2022
Date: 5/10/22 at 11:15am Central Time
Forecast: A small scale system will move across the Southern half of Wisconsin this later afternoon/evening and this will bring a corridor of surface instability to the watch area. This, with developing low-level shear will make tornadoes possible. This is highly unusual for the region. Usually tornadoes are more likely in the summer months there, not in May.
Given the instability/shear values, notable tornado dynamics will be in the area, enough for a low-grade watch for up to EF1-2 tornadoes, but nothing in the moderate or higher category –
Still, in the small watch box, tornadoes are in the forecast with the NWF in-house tornado risk model below.
In addition to the tornado risk, large hail and damaging winds will be likely …
A NWF Tornado Watch is issued when notable tornado dynamics exist. Weaker spin-ups can happen in the ‘weak’ category, but boxes for that are usually not issued, therefore the box will only cover the notable dynamics in the model below …
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